RBI DATA ON BANK CREDIT

BE/RBINOTE/11/2020

Here is the latest report from RBI on the growth of Bank credit.

1. The Bank Credit growth declined to 8.5 per cent in January from 13.5 per cent in the year-ago period. This was due to a sharp slowdown in loans to the services sector, according to RBI data.
2. Growth in advances to the services sector decelerated to 8.9 per cent from 23.9 per cent in January 2019.
3. Bank loan growth to non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) slowed to 32.2 per cent in the reporting month from a growth of 48.3 per cent a year ago.
4. During the month, personal loans segment grew by 16.9 per cent. Within personal loans, credit to housing segment grew by 17.5 per cent from 18.4 per cent, while education loan showed a negative growth of 3.1 per cent as against a negative growth of 2.3 per cent in January 2019.
5. Advances growth to agriculture and allied activities contracted to 6.5 per cent from 7.6 per cent rise last year.
6. Credit growth to industry decelerated to 2.5 per cent from 5.2 per cent.
7. Within industry, loan growth to paper and paper products, rubber plastic and their products and construction accelerated.
8. The report further added that credit growth to textile, food processing, chemical & chemical products, basic metal & metal products, all engineering and infrastructure decelerated.

Further, the latest quarterly statistics on deposits and credit of banks reads as under:

1. Bank loan growth decelerated to 7.4 per cent in the October-December, 2019 from 12.9 per cent the year-ago quarter.
2. During the quarter, loans by public sector banks grew by 3.7 per cent while credit from private sector banks saw a growth of 13.1 per cent.
3. In the fortnight ended February 14, 2020, bank credit grew by 6.3 per cent to Rs.100.41 trillion, from Rs. 94.403 trillion in the year-ago fortnight.
4. Deposits grew by 9.2 per cent to Rs. 132.35 trillion in the fortnight compared to Rs.121.19 trillion, the RBI data showed.
5. In February, the RBI governor Shaktikanta Das had said that slowing credit growth is the biggest challenge the banking industry is facing.
6. He also had advised that the most critical challenge today for banks, not just in India but also elsewhere, is slowing credit off-take which affects their profitability.
7. CRISIL, in a recent note, had indicated that credit growth is likely to be around 6 per cent in this fiscal but is expected to accelerate to 8- 9 per cent in FY21.
8. It further indicated that a prolonged slowdown in bank lending may be bottoming out this fiscal, with gross credit off-take set to rise 8-9 per cent on-year in FY21, a good 200-300 basis points (bps) over the likely growth of near 6 per cent this fiscal.
9. This uptick in loan growth is expected to be driven by a gradual pick-up in economic activity, continuing demand for retail loans, and strong growth in lending by private sector banks.